Investimento público e desenvolvimento da educação fundamental: relação analisada nas capitais do Nordeste entre 2017 e 2023

Abstract

This study analyzes the relationship between public investment in elementary education and educational performance in the capitals of Brazil’s Northeast region from 2017 to 2023. The main objective was to verify whether there is a correlation between the financial resources applied by municipalities and the results obtained in the Basic Education Development Index (IDEB). The research adopted a quantitative approach, applying multiple linear regression analysis, using financial data extracted from SICONFI and educational indicators from the QEdu portal. Financial and structural variables were considered, such as per capita investment, the percentage of expenditure on elementary education, and the number of schools. The results indicated no statistically significant correlation between the analyzed investments and IDEB performance, suggesting that qualitative factors, such as school management and teacher training, exert greater influence on educational outcomes. It is concluded that the volume of resources alone does not ensure improvements in education quality indicators, highlighting the need to link investments to efficient management practices and evidence-based public policies.